| ||Revised Wheat Production Outlook for 2002-03|| ||
Further to the outlook announcement on 31 July 2002, AWB has reduced its estimate of domestic wheat production this season following the National Climate Centre announcement of their Spring outlook.
The Centre predicts that apart from Western Australia, below average rainfall and higher than normal temperatures are expected. Current El Nino conditions, a low Southern Oscillation Index, warm water in the central Pacific, and weakened Trade winds are also likely to persist over the coming months.
The climate conditions experienced by farmers to date have been generally unfavourable in many areas around the country. Crops this year have been exposed to less rainfall, higher than average temperatures and frosts. These conditions have resulted in reduced plantings and yield potential.
Yield prospects in Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria will all be below average this season. However, South Australian crops are in generally good shape, and are on track for an average season. Western Australia are expecting good crops in coastal / western regions whilst poor crops are expected in the east.
Based on the latest indicative climatic conditions and the current status of the national crop, AWB estimate domestic wheat production of 15.5 - 17.5 million tonnes.
For media enquiries, contact Peter McBride on 03 9209 2174 or 0417 662 451.
For analyst enquiries, contact Michael Thomas on 03 9209 2064 or 0419 565 227.